A War That is Not Likely to Stop

By Dr Marwan Asmar

It’s day 22 of the US-Israeli war on Iran and it’s turning out to be a spiraling bloody conflict that is becoming difficult to contain with ballistic missiles at the top of the attack with reports that Tehran and Hezbollah has attacked Israel with at least 1200 missiles since 28 February 2026.

American President Donald Trump thought the war would be easy, slick and short leading to the collapse of the Islamic government of Tehran. But this has turned out to be a short-sighted, parochial view that meanings nothing to today’s international relations.

Today, the Iranian government is fighting in all three fronts: Striking at American bases in the surrounding Gulf region. Striking at American naval ships, tightly closing the Hormuz Strait to international shipping, especially to US and Israeli vessels and massively striking at the heart of Israel on a daily basis. 

On day 22 the war has failed to reach the US/israeli objective which is to change the regime in Tehran. Instead the Islamic government with its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp (IRGC) has remained intact, strong and fighting with their different missiles and drones that are being introduced for the first time to strike US military bases, navel ships and on Israeli cities and military installations the latest of which on locations very near the Dimona nuclear reactor in which 175 people have been injured.

While US-Israeli coordinated strikes on Iran and its capital Tehran are deadly – with so far over 7000 strikes and bomb drops, the Iranian military machine is proving formidable. Despite the killing of its leadership lead by Iran’s spiritual leader Ali Khameini on the first day of the war as well as 13 subsequent leaders and ministers, Iran today is fighting in what has become a war with strategic equations.

And despite the killing of Ali Larijani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, and who came to direct the efforts of the war, today the IRGC is the primary player that is leading the what has become a deadly fight. They have not been affected by the strikes on the country despite the American and Israel public relations campaign that is constantly stating that Iran’s arsenal has been greatly diminished and is about to give up. 

As evidence of that is the fact that USS destroyer Abraham Lincoln has been constantly hit and has finally been moved more than 1000 kilometers of Iran’s coast deep down the Arabian Sea, albeit to a safe place.  

This is while also, the USS destroyer Gerald Ford has been taken to Greece for repairs because of fire on its deck. Trump has said already that the Iranian navy has been destroyed but the fact is they continue today to patrol the Hormuz Strait tightly controlling the entry and exit of ships, vassals and oil tankers. 

The mighty US navy and their Israeli allies and their military might and superior air power that are said to control the Iranian airspace or so-called, haven’t been able to unlock the IRGC control over the strategic waterway resulting in soaring oil prices that today exceed $100 and are in an upward spiral while creating enormous disruption in trade, commodities and medical merchandise.

Today, the world is experiencing its worst economic days thanks to the intransigence of the US president and Israel, a state that is also experiencing its worst days because of the extent of the missiles that are penetrating their anti-rocket batteries and are falling on its cities, neighborhoods, destroying and damaging their buildings and homes whilst keeping millions of Israelis down underground shelters at all hours of the day and night because of their Prime Minister Netanyahu who has been the prime instigator of this war on Iran and forcing the hand of the US into this conflict.  

However, Iran has proved to be not an easy ride surprising everyone with its technological gadegatories and different state-of-the-art missiles.

Today it is refusing to get back to the negotiating table at the end of week 3 of the war despite the pleas made by Trump and his envoys Gerard Kusher and Steve Witkoff who have been sending emails, messages to Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi to stop the war and establish a negotiated settlement. 

The Iranian government have said they are not interested in a deal that is likely to be broken at the whim of Trump like what happed in the June 2025 12-day when the US president stopped the fighting at the please made by Israel. Today Aragchi says any agreement to a ceasefire must be made through ironclad conditions to make sure that Iran won’t be attacked again just when these countries feel like it.

Meanwhile the war goes on and Israel continues to be attacked which the US administration at the White House continuing to search for a way out to stop a war that is in nobody’s interest.

Marwan Asmar is an Amman-based writer who blogs at crossfirearabia.com

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    CrossFireArabia

    Dr. Marwan Asmar holds a PhD from Leeds University and is a freelance writer specializing on the Middle East. He has worked as a journalist since the early 1990s in Jordan and the Gulf countries, and been widely published, including at Albawaba, Gulf News, Al Ghad, World Press Review and others.

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    Will There be Another Day Tomorrow!

    By Dr Marwan Asmar

    By 1 pm Wednesday morning the whole of the Middle East region could turn pitch black, utter darkness. No neons no flicker with pylons fizzling out. It’s a slippery-slope to disaster that started with the ultimatums given by US President Donald Trump about his worldview.

    He long told the Iranian leadership in voice but more like dictation, either open up the Strait of Hormuz or he will order the US army to start bombing the country’s infrastructure, power plants and electricity grids in a way that he has never done before “bombing the country to the Stone Age.”

    His ultimatum was first made on 21 March giving Iran 48 hours or else he would start bombing the power plants then on the 23rd day of the same month, he extended the ultimatum for five more and then these dates kept being pushed forward till today, when 7 April, 2026 came; it has become a solid, no nonsensense cut-off date. But we are yet to say!

    Two things happened in the last two to three weeks or so that made him delay his threat: First pressure from leaders of the Gulf countries. Iran’s leadership was very clear to the initial threat made by Trump. Its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp made it clear if their plants were struck they would turn their missiles on the energy plants and grids of the different Gulf countries which serve as lynchpins to their economies, societies and urbanizations.

    Hearing of this, the Gulf governments quickly put the diplomatic pressure on the White House. For Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and Oman, the Iranian threat which was very real since Iran has been striking with thousands of missiles of drones would be especially disastrous for the Gulf states which can’t live without electricity. 

    Second, from the first week of the war that started on 28 February, Trump, and realizing that something was seriously wrong – a point made clear by the unexpected ferosity of the Iranian missiles strikes and drones – made it clear that he was willing to stop the war if Iran surrendered its nuclear stockpile of enrichment and ended its ballistic missile program.

    As the war “hotted up” and with Iran striking US ships in the Arabian Sea, US military bases in the Gulf states and Israel, Washington once again appealed for a ceasefire. But they couldn’t live up to this for they were already on the run as symbolized by the fact their destroyers – SS Gerald Ford which was towed away to Greece after wreckage and with SS Abraham Lincoln quitely moving 1500 kilometers away deep into the Arabia Sea – proved to be no match for the coming Iranian ballistic, and otherwise, missiles.

    In came different actors like Turkey, Cairo, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan to try to bring the two sides together. Very quickly, Islamabad took the lead with the negotiations in an attempt to grab a deal that started at least since mid-March, and maybe before. There was an earnest interest to stop what was seen as war that was becoming devastating for the economies of the region and the world.

    Not a single drop of oil was passing the Strait of Hormuz, in a once bustling waterway that controlled 20 percent of the global petroleum market. The deal today, despite talks hangs in the balance, it is illusive, beyond immediate reach for Iran had conditions.

    On top of that, things are not that simple especially when ideologies are far apart. The Iranians were always suspicious of the men in the White House! Its leaders wouldn’t directly talk to the Americans and had serious misgivings about ongoing US envoys Steve Witkoff and Gerard Koshner, Trump’s son-in-law, were regarded as pro-Israelis that couldn’t be trusted. 

    Besides that Iran had iron-clad conditions. If they agreed to a ceasefire they demanded it should be long-lasting and that Trump wouldn’t start the war again, not a replay of the June 2025 confrontation when the US and Israel first waged a war on Tehran and asked for a ceasefire then broke it. Other conditions include compensation for the destruction of their country, an end to the Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon and new methods of payment for ships entrying and living the Hormuz Strait which they control.

    Today, and despite the fact that Israeli cities like Tel Aviv are being struck on a daily basis from Iran, Hezbollah and now the Houthis from Yemen, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu doesn’t want the war on Iran to stop. He wants to continue hammering Iran even at the cost of his people for more than 6000 Israelis have been injured up until now, not to mention the fast devastation across Israel.

    As the clock ticks to midnight Trump is verbally escalating. He said if Iran doesn’t agree to open the Hormuz Strait “a whole civilization will die tonight.” Iran’s Prime Minister Massoud Pezeshkian on the other hand is ready and waiting. He said 14 million people are ready to fight for Iran and called for human chains around the electricity plants all over the country. 

    Escalation is definitely reaching higher peaks. We wait for the next move. The conflict continues. The US Central Command says, and up-to-date the American Air Force carried out 13,000 raids on Iran.

    By contrast, over 6000 missile and drone launches were carried by Iran on US warships, military bases, Gulf states and on Israel over the past 39 days of conflict. This is while Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said Iran has the ability to continue for at least another six months at the current rate of launching ballistic missiles in the region.

    Meanwhile we wait for Trump’s utterings and see of he is really prepared to bomb the country back into the Stone Age. Will there be another day tomorrow? We shall see for the deadly war may still have many surprises.

    Dr Asmar is a writer from Amman and blogs for crossfirearabia.com

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    Celebrating Arabic: Yesterday, Today, Tomorrow

    Celebrating Arabic will likely continue for many centuries to come. Arabic is not under threat as many would like to have us believe. Yes there are cultural invasions, facilitated by different media technologies whether in traditional form such as newspapers, radio and television or the internet, website and social platforms.

    This is together with the “pigeonisation” of the language and mixing it with English, popularly known as “Arabizi” but these could be argued as no more than fads to set off the alarm-bells ringing.

    In reality, Arabic will continue as a strong force because of the fact that many millions and millions speak it or learn it as a medium of instruction. Around 420 million across the Arab nation speak it on a daily basis and there is the fact there are 1.5 million Muslims around the world as far as Indonesia, China, Pakistan, India, Afghanistan to Turkey, Albania, Bosnia, to Nigeria, Niger, Chad and Tanzania who learn the language because of its religious Islamic association and as important cultural tools.

    Arabic has come to be seen as a dynamic language of vitality and expression which it will continue to be prominent among its people, institutions, mosques, religious establishments, in its books, literature, essays, poetry, culture and media.

    Despite the power politics that has reduced the Arab world to a sub-sphere of super-power/s and great-power rivalries, lynch-pinned through the oil economies, consumerism, strong purchasing ability and different stages of development, the Arab region remains a towering beacon.

    This is due to the strength of its language and seen as much by the United Nations when it recognised Arabic as one of its official languages in 1974, joining the other official languages of Chinese, English, French, Russian and Spanish. The status of the language was further reinforced when the UN, at the behest of Unesco, made December 18 World Arabic Language Day to be celebrated every year.

    This point was emphasised thus. “World Arabic Language Day is an opportunity for us to acknowledge the immense contribution of the Arabic language to universal culture and to renew our commitment to multilingualism.

    Linguistic diversity is a key component of cultural diversity. It reflects the wealth of human existence and gives us access to infinite resources so that we may engage in dialogue, learn, develop and live in peace,” stated the Unesco director-general Irina Bokova as the Day was officially designated in 2012.

    Clearly, the designation didn’t come out of thin air, but reinforced by its centuries-old cultures, development, creations and innovations, going back to the Middle Ages and beyond when Islam was established as a religion and knocked on the doors of Spain and the European continent in the west, to Iran and the modern-day republics of southern Russia to India, outer rims of China and Southeast Asia.

    Inherent in this is the cultural historiography that took place within its womb, as emphasised by the contributions and enlightenment of the Islamic religion through the Arabic language and culture. Its manifestations was created by its scholars, coming on the scene in the field of science, medicine, astronomy, literature and philosophy spread out in the different capitals of the Islamic Empire, of Baghdad, Damascus, Egypt, Tunisia, Marakesh and onwards across the Mediterranean to Sicily and Muslim Spain which even today has the remnants of a bygone heritage, architecture and features of an Islamic age.

    It was historically argued that Arabs were great translators. They took the Greek works on science and medicine and translated them into Arabic. When the Europeans needed them, and couldn’t find them, they reverted to Arab translations to gain insight.

    The great Harvard historian of science George Sarton wrote as much in his Introduction to the “History of Science”. “From the second half of the eight to the end of the 11th century Arabic was the scientific, progressive language of mankind … When the West was sufficiently mature to feel the need of deeper knowledge, it turned its attention, first of all not to the Greek sources but to the Arabic ones.”

    These Arabic sources proliferated with increasing numbers and in different fields. Names such as Khaled Ibn Yazid Ibn Muawiyya, Jabir Ibn Hayyan, known in the West as Jabir, became distinguished in chemistry or alchemy as it was known then.

    He laid the basis, experimenting in chemical reactions such as crystallisation, calcination, solution and sublimation that are now basic in the study, and were later advanced by scientists in the West who were given the basic tools to advance further.

    Jabir also studied metals and described the process of preparation for steel and is credited with discovering red oxide, bichloride of mercury, hydrochloric acid, nitrate acid and many others that began to be used in the West during the Middle Ages. This is also something he documented in his books that were later translated in Spain where a special college was established for translation in Toledo.

    Besides that, another Arab scientist came on the scene by the name of Mohammad Ibn Zakariya Al Razi. A didactic philosopher of science, it is said he was learned in every branch of science — not only in chemistry but mathematics, logic, metaphysics and music. But unlike Jabir, he was a man who advanced medical knowledge.

    He wrote more than 100 medical books, 33 on natural sciences, 11 on mathematics and 45 books on philosophy, logic and theology. His books and works show his “encyclopedic” capabilities. He came to be an authority in the West.

    Next came Abu Ali Al Hussian Ibn Sina, known in the West as Avicenna and nicknamed in Europe as the “Aristotle of the Arabs” because of his wide knowledge in literature and medical, philosophical and scientific works, as well as Islamic law.

    He lived between 980-1037, and was sought after by statesmen of the time because he was seen as a well-learned physician with the ability and intuition for advanced medical knowledge. It must be said that as well as Spain, Arab discoveries went through the European continent also via Venice as many European writers testify to that.

    What’s also interesting is that English novelists such as William Shakespeare and later modern ones such as Ken Follet acknowledged this in researching his books — and wrote about them in his novels on the Middle Ages, “Pillars of the Earth” and “War without Ends”. The references made here and there gave the reader the impression that the Arab civilisation that then existed was far richer than the one in the West, and despite the slow transport, was reaching distant corners of Europe and England. Such a rich tapestry is only the tip of the iceberg. There were many scholars who have not been mentioned but two will suffice.

    The first is Mohammad Ibn Musa Al Khawarazmi, who travelled to India, came back and introduced the Hindu numerals and the concept of zero into the Arab world and popularised it as an easy form of counting and using the decimal system as more practical rather than the awkward and unwieldy Roman system which involved letters and used in Europe at time. By this method mathematics was greatly simplified and became more important to science, architecture, economy, business and general development. This was in 873. At first it is said the West laughed at the 0 but they later saw how valuable it is.

    The other is Ibn Al Haytham, who was born in Basra in Iraq at about 945 AD and made major contributions in the physics branch of optics. Later on many learned scholars suggested there were striking parallels between Ibn Al Haytham and the 17th century English Issac Newton who is arguably one of the greatest scientists of all time.

    The achievements of Ibn Al Haytham might be more important today than it was then as he talked about important properties such as light rays, the fact that light travels in a straight line and luminous objects that radiate light and light sources.

    He developed his theories through what he called scientific method, and become related to the theory of gravity and the theory of relativity. And hence, it is argued Ibn Al Haytham laid the groundwork for the relishing of such ideas not only to be used in the West but for the benefit of mankind.

    These scholars and ideas became the basis of world civilizations. The fact that the Arab and Islamic world are much less powerful today than they were doesn’t really say much. This is because today’s technologies made by great powers, whether it’s in the West, Russia, China, Japan must be seen as the sum total of what had gone on hundreds of years ago and which started Arab scientists.

    This is an archival piece that was originally written for Gulf News and reprinted on one of the UNESCO websites.

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