By Dr Marwan Asmar
It’s day 22 of the US-Israeli war on Iran and it’s turning out to be a spiraling bloody conflict that is becoming difficult to contain with ballistic missiles at the top of the attack with reports that Tehran and Hezbollah has attacked Israel with at least 1200 missiles since 28 February 2026.
American President Donald Trump thought the war would be easy, slick and short leading to the collapse of the Islamic government of Tehran. But this has turned out to be a short-sighted, parochial view that meanings nothing to today’s international relations.
Today, the Iranian government is fighting in all three fronts: Striking at American bases in the surrounding Gulf region. Striking at American naval ships, tightly closing the Hormuz Strait to international shipping, especially to US and Israeli vessels and massively striking at the heart of Israel on a daily basis.
On day 22 the war has failed to reach the US/israeli objective which is to change the regime in Tehran. Instead the Islamic government with its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp (IRGC) has remained intact, strong and fighting with their different missiles and drones that are being introduced for the first time to strike US military bases, navel ships and on Israeli cities and military installations the latest of which on locations very near the Dimona nuclear reactor in which 175 people have been injured.
While US-Israeli coordinated strikes on Iran and its capital Tehran are deadly – with so far over 7000 strikes and bomb drops, the Iranian military machine is proving formidable. Despite the killing of its leadership lead by Iran’s spiritual leader Ali Khameini on the first day of the war as well as 13 subsequent leaders and ministers, Iran today is fighting in what has become a war with strategic equations.
And despite the killing of Ali Larijani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, and who came to direct the efforts of the war, today the IRGC is the primary player that is leading the what has become a deadly fight. They have not been affected by the strikes on the country despite the American and Israel public relations campaign that is constantly stating that Iran’s arsenal has been greatly diminished and is about to give up.
As evidence of that is the fact that USS destroyer Abraham Lincoln has been constantly hit and has finally been moved more than 1000 kilometers of Iran’s coast deep down the Arabian Sea, albeit to a safe place.
This is while also, the USS destroyer Gerald Ford has been taken to Greece for repairs because of fire on its deck. Trump has said already that the Iranian navy has been destroyed but the fact is they continue today to patrol the Hormuz Strait tightly controlling the entry and exit of ships, vassals and oil tankers.
The mighty US navy and their Israeli allies and their military might and superior air power that are said to control the Iranian airspace or so-called, haven’t been able to unlock the IRGC control over the strategic waterway resulting in soaring oil prices that today exceed $100 and are in an upward spiral while creating enormous disruption in trade, commodities and medical merchandise.
Today, the world is experiencing its worst economic days thanks to the intransigence of the US president and Israel, a state that is also experiencing its worst days because of the extent of the missiles that are penetrating their anti-rocket batteries and are falling on its cities, neighborhoods, destroying and damaging their buildings and homes whilst keeping millions of Israelis down underground shelters at all hours of the day and night because of their Prime Minister Netanyahu who has been the prime instigator of this war on Iran and forcing the hand of the US into this conflict.
However, Iran has proved to be not an easy ride surprising everyone with its technological gadegatories and different state-of-the-art missiles.
Today it is refusing to get back to the negotiating table at the end of week 3 of the war despite the pleas made by Trump and his envoys Gerard Kusher and Steve Witkoff who have been sending emails, messages to Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi to stop the war and establish a negotiated settlement.
The Iranian government have said they are not interested in a deal that is likely to be broken at the whim of Trump like what happed in the June 2025 12-day when the US president stopped the fighting at the please made by Israel. Today Aragchi says any agreement to a ceasefire must be made through ironclad conditions to make sure that Iran won’t be attacked again just when these countries feel like it.
Meanwhile the war goes on and Israel continues to be attacked which the US administration at the White House continuing to search for a way out to stop a war that is in nobody’s interest.
Marwan Asmar is an Amman-based writer who blogs at crossfirearabia.com








