Israel to Face a Decade of Death, Pain and War Says Maariv Columnist

Israeli writer Dror Raphael presents a bleak vision of the future of Israel. In an article published in Maariv newspaper, almost a year after the events of 7 October and the start pf the “Al-Aqsa Flood”, he stresses that “every Israeli has been walking around with a black hole in his heart for a year now.”

He explains there is no need to remind Israelis of what they are going through, because they live with pain and losses daily. The displaced (in the north and south) are still far from their homes, the prisoners are still in the tunnels of the Gaza Strip, and the pain of the dead does not subside.

“Every Israeli has been walking around with a black hole in his heart for a year now,” referring to the role of social media, such as the famous Israeli account on X “News from last year”, which republishes newspaper headlines that predicted the crisis before it happened, he added.

He pointed out it was clear to everyone that Israel was heading towards disaster, but the leaders were busy with the “legal revolution”, unaware of the looming danger, noting that “the most common greeting these days is ‘the return of the kidnapped’ and the expression of negativity and pessimism.”

The writer expresses his disappointment with the political and social situation in Israel, considering that “the assumption of responsibility and other values ​​that the Israelis believed they lived by turned out to be illusions,” noting in particular that “the government investigation committee, which was supposed to be established automatically after the attacks of 7 October, has become almost illegitimate.”

He believes that the young Israeli generation is suffering from a state of despair, and sites what former British Prime Minister Winston Churchill said during World War II, expressing his hope that Israel would receive promises of “blood, sweat and tears” as Churchill promised his people, and says that “the reality indicates that we are facing a decade of death and wars with no light at the end of the tunnel.”

Titanic and Ice

Raphael sees that Israel is facing a “decade of death, pain and war” without clear leadership or  vision to get out of this dark tunnel, likening the situation in Israel to the Titanic that is hurtling towards an iceberg.

The writer highlights the political situation in Israel, pointing to the extreme composition of the government, criticizing the leaders and officials, from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to the heads of the army and intelligence, describing them as “short-sighted, arrogant, boasting about Israel’s strength and deterrence without actually understanding what is happening.”

The writer points to the division in Israel and its future impact, saying, “people between the ages of 40 and 50 feel disgusted with the Knesset and the government, and therefore hesitate to participate in leadership.

The writer refers to the phenomenon of reverse migration among Israelis due to despair over the conditions in Israel, and said, “those born last year will live in another, different and colder country, a country whose citizens vowed not to leave, but have already established colonies in Cyprus, Thailand or Puerto Rico on the Atlantic coast.”

While the writer tries to alleviate the “gloomy picture” by referring to the young soldiers who he said are “fighting to repair the country that collapsed,” he concludes by directing a question to future generations: “How did they not see this happening? How did they not know? How did they not prevent or warn? And most importantly, how were they not ashamed?”

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Eight Israeli Soldiers Killed in First Battle With Hezbollah

In his first comments following the death of eight Israeli officers and soldiers in battles in southern Lebanon, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that Tel Aviv is in the “middle of a tough war.”

“I would like to send my heartfelt condolences to the families of our heroes who fell today in Lebanon,” Netanyahu said in a video post on X.

“We are in the middle of a tough war against Iran’s axis of evil, which seeks to destroy us,” he added.

Netanyahu concluded his remarks by saying: “We will rescue our hostages in the south (Gaza); we will return our residents in the north; we will guarantee Israel’s eternity.”

Earlier, the Israeli army said that eight of its troops, including three officers, were killed and seven others, including one officer, were injured, some seriously, in battles in southern Lebanon according to Anadolu.

Israeli Channel 12 reported that the first confrontation erupted in the early hours of Wednesday in the village of Odaisseh, where an Israeli force was ambushed at the entrance of a house.

The report said that Hezbollah fighters fired on the Israeli unit from close range and also engaged them from a close distance using machine guns, anti-tank missiles, and mortars.

The evacuation process lasted a long time due to the topographical conditions and severe weather during the early morning hours, with six soldiers killed and five others from the Egoz Commando Unit sustaining varying injuries.

In a second incident, a unit from the Golani Brigade was hit by mortar fire launched by Hezbollah fighters from both close and distant ranges, resulting in the death of two soldiers.

Meanwhile, the Yedioth Ahronoth daily reported that the ambush set by Hezbollah in a house in southern Lebanon, where face-to-face confrontations occurred, resulted in the deaths of six Israeli officers and soldiers from the Egoz unit, with 30 others injured.

Israel has launched massive airstrikes since Sept. 23 against what it calls Hezbollah targets across Lebanon that have killed more than 1,000 victims and injured over 2,950, according to the Lebanese Health Ministry.

The top leadership of Hezbollah was killed in the Israeli assaults, including leader Hassan Nasrallah.

Hezbollah and Israel have been engaged in cross-border warfare since the start of Israel’s war on Gaza, which has killed nearly 41,700 people, most of them women and children, following an attack by the Palestinian group, Hamas, last October.

The international community has warned that Israeli attacks in Lebanon could escalate the Gaza conflict into a wider regional war.

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Nasrallah: ‘No Lebanon-Gaza Separation’

CEOSSFIREARABIA – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his military establishment led by Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi are determined to separate the Lebanese and the Gaza fronts. 

To do that the Israelis are bombing Lebanon in all sorts of directions  right, left and center, in the south of the country, its east and of course, southern Beirut – considered the prime Hezbollah stronghold – as hard as they can to achieve their illusive objectives which are nowhere near to being realized.

Israeli air raids, bombings, killing of civilians and murder of claimed Hezbollah fighters have increased in the last 48 hours with death knocking on the door of the Lebanese. Last Monday alone Israeli warplanes killed 274 people and injured 1024 in 1100 air raids all over Lebanon with the number of those killed rising daily.

But in contrast, Hezbollah attacks – through missiles and drones – have been tough on northern Israel including its cities like Haifa, Tel Aviv, in the Galilee, Safad, Jewish colonies/settlements  and military bases have continued non-stop where reports of fires, deaths and hundreds of thousands hiding in underground shelters.

Secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah has been very clear in his approach. In this escalation which started last week through the so-called pager and wireless massacre when Israeli killed around 3000 people in the southern neighborhood of Beirut, Hezbollah quickly regrouped and started firing on the north and center of Israel in unexpected moves.

He said there will be no separation between the Lebanese and Gaza fronts until the Israeli military machine stops bombing Gaza once-and-for-all. Hezbollah and Gaza has long become an unparalleled equation, he maintains. The war must stop in Gaza so that Fadi I, Fadi II and more recently Fadi III as well as more missiles stop landing on the different and sensitive areas of Israel.

However he tried to be reasonable saying that if a settlement is reached within the Palestinian groups and be acceptable to them his party would stop firing on Israel. Nasarallah couldn’t be more clearer than that.

Meanwhile the ‘trading over the border escalation’ between Hezbollah and the Israeli warplanes continues with missile swaps and bombs continuing. Despite the war utterings from certain quarters, Israel doesn’t want a northern front as their leaders keep saying and is not expected to start a ground troop offensive into southern Lebanon because of what is being termed as their ‘debilitating’ ability and exhaustion of their soldiers after their nearly 12 months of fighting in Gaza. 

But in this respect too, Nasrallah has been clear too saying if the Israeli army wants to enter south Lebanon, Hezbollah would be ready for them, going all the way of inviting them to invade and see the real force of the resistance in Lebanon that had been fighting Israel, albeit on a ‘low level’ since Israel started its war and onslaught on the Gaza Strip soon after 7 October, 2023. 

All indications suggest Israeli will not be able to separate this front from the Gaza one. Though Israeli planes are in a state of bombing momentum believing if they bomb certain regions of Lebanon fiercely enough, and aim to kill their top caders by bombing south Beirut, Hezbollah will eventually give up by themselves and wrap up the war.

But the situation is particularly fluid, neither side is budging from their positions. With Hezbollah termed to be recruiting 40,000 fighters from Iraq, Syria and Yemen, it insists that this front is their to support Gaza while Netanyahu refuses to accept a ceasefire deal on the enclave.

Both parties are in “military deadlock”, while a third party, the Biden administration, is walking in the middle. Its officials right from US president Joe Biden, Secretary of State Antony Blinken and other lowley staff stated many times they want a deal on Gaza, and don’t want the war to spread to the region, to Lebanon, possibly Iraq, Syria and even Yemen which have been up till now low key operators.

In this war first on Gaza, and now developing into Lebanon, the US has been a constant behind-the-scene player, politicking in Lebanon through its special envoy and Qatar and Egypt acting as mediators in the past months to work a ceasefire that didn’t work mainly through Israeli intransigence, Washington must take much of the blame.  

This is because Washington has been a constant supplier of weapons to the Israelis in this war right after 7 October, 2023 through an active air and sea bridge to Tel Aviv. It has, till this day, been providing Israeli with technical advice on the conduct of the war with at least 2000 US military personell and many would argue, the United States has not been forceful enough with Netanyahu who worked to disrupt the talks and make sure the war on Gaza continues.

With the war switching to the Lebanese-Israeli border, it seems that the US would continue to supply Israel with weapons, increase its intransigence even further, keep up the Hamas-Hezbollah ante up and suck the regional into an even bigger regional war.

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Captive Polin Appeals to Biden Before Bombing

The Hamas Qassam Brigades broadcast a recording, Thursday, 5 September, 2024, of an Israeli prisoner with American citizenship, who was killed by the occupation army and whose body and five  other prisoners were recovered last Saturday inside a tunnel in the city of Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip.

In the recording, slain prisoner Hersh Goldberg-Polin asked US President Joe Biden, Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, and all American citizens to do everything they can to “stop the war and this madness and bring him home.”

He pointed out he became 23 years old just four days before his arrest at a concert in the Re’im area in the so-called “Gaza enveloped” on 7 October, 2023.

He highlighted the extent of the suffering he is experiencing in Gaza and said he does not remember the last time he saw the sun or breathed fresh air, but he stressed what is worse is the Israeli [government] attempt to bomb him without stopping “so it wouldn’t not bear responsibility and reach an agreement.”

Born in California

Goldberg-Polin, who was born in California and lives in occupied Jerusalem, said that since his arrival in Gaza, he has been trying to stay alive without any medical assistance, with little food and water.

He sent an emotional message to his family, stressing he knows they are doing everything they can to bring him home, and asked his family to stay strong for him.

Last April, the Qassam Brigades published a video recording of the prisoner Goldberg-Polin, in which he attacked the Netanyahu government and accused it of negligence and failure to work to release him and the rest of the detainees.

On 13 May, the Qassam Brigades announced it had lost contact with a group of resistance fighters guarding four Israeli prisoners in Gaza, including Goldberg-Polin, due to the Israeli bombing of the Strip.

Since last Monday, the Qassam Brigades began broadcasting the last messages of the six Israeli prisoners, starting with the prisoner Idan Yerushalmi, then Ori Danino, before broadcasting – Wednesday – a recording of the prisoners Alexander Lubnov and Carmel Gat.

All the recordings hold the Israeli government led by Benjamin Netanyahu and the security and military services responsible for what happened on 7 October, 2023, and all the captives demanded the speeding up of an exchange deal and for the popular demonstrations demanding their return continue so that they could return home alive.

Last Sunday, Al-Qassam broadcast a message to Israeli society stating that “Netanyahu chose the Philadelphi Corridor at the expense of liberating your prisoners,” noting that these captives were alive but have become a thing of the past, whilst stressing Netanyahu is creating dozens of Ron Arads.

On 23 April, the Brigades’ spokesman Abu Obeida said that the “the Ron Arad scenario may be the most likely to be repeated with the enemy’s prisoners in Gaza,” stressing that “the so-called military pressure will only push us to stand firm in our positions and preserve the rights of our people and not relinquish them,” according to JO24.

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Gaza: Bloodiest War of the 21st Century

Its being described as one of the “bloodiest” war of the 21st century. This is how Israel’s Haaretz daily termed the war on Gaza in a recent investigation.

According to Haaretz, the war has claimed the lives of tens of thousands of Palestinians, many of whom were in zones previously designated as “safe” by the Israeli military.

The report criticized Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for accusing “the international community of hypocrisy concerning the war in the Gaza Strip – and to claim it is ignoring other conflicts and humanitarian disasters,” according to Anadolu.

For example, Netanyahu in January said: “Where was South Africa when millions were killed or expelled from their homes in Syria and Yemen?”

“But a cold examination of the numbers killed in the Gaza Strip reveals this is one of the bloodiest wars since the beginning of the century, especially if you examine the rate of mortality out of the total population,” the report pointed out.

The Israeli newspaper stated the Gaza war resulted in an extraordinarily high death toll, with approximately 40,000 Palestinians killed since the onslaught began on 7 October, 2023 7 – this this is about 2% of the Gaza’s population of two million.

Targeting safe areas

Despite the Israeli army’s designation of certain areas in Gaza as “safe areas,” the daily said “most of the residents of Gaza were displaced, but their escape to areas the Israel Defense Forces (army) has designated as safe zones has not always helped, and many have been killed in these areas too.”

The Israeli forces have repeatedly targeted these “safe areas” where displaced civilians gathered, resulting in the deaths of hundreds of people, including women and children.

The report noted international organizations and media outlets have consistently verified the casualty figures provided by Gaza’s Ministry of Health.

As of Wednesday, the ministry reported nearly 40,000 Palestinian deaths and over 92,000 injuries due to the ongoing war, with more than 10,000 people still missing under the rubble.

Haaretz compared the Gaza conflict to other major humanitarian disasters.

“In the Rohingya genocide in Myanmar, for example, about 25,000 people have been killed, according to the United Nations.

“The war in Gaza also stands out in comparison to wars from the 1990s, for example those that took place in the former state of Yugoslavia. One of these regions was Bosnia, and in the worst year of the conflict, 1991, the average number of deaths per month was 2,097 – and the total number killed over four years there was 63,000,” it added.

4,000 fatalities per month

The newspaper highlighted the alarming death rate in Gaza, which averages around 4,000 fatalities per month, far surpassing the monthly death toll in Ukraine’s ongoing conflict.

One of the most striking aspects of the Gaza war, according to Haaretz, is the lack of safe refuge for civilians. The densely populated, 360-square-kilometer (139-square-mile) area offers little to no escape for non-combatants, further exacerbating the humanitarian crisis.

“The difference that stands out the most between the rest of the wars of the 21st century and the war in the Gaza Strip is the size of the territory where the fighting is taking place, and the inability of the uninvolved civilians to flee the battles – and in particular the percentage of casualties among the overall population,” the newspaper elaborated.​​​​​​​

Living conditions for displaced civilians in so-called “humanitarian” zones are dire, with overcrowding, disease and a lack of shelter and medical supplies. Haaretz emphasized the staggering impact of the war, noting that 2% of Gaza’s population has been killed in less than a year—a level of destruction rarely seen outside of Africa since World War II.

Michael Spagat, a professor at the University of London who specializes in monitoring conflict casualties, told Haaretz that “in terms of the total number of dead, I assume Gaza won’t be among the 10 most violent conflicts of the 21st century.”

“But compared to the percentage of the population killed,” Spagat assumes it is already “among the top five.”

The devastation in Gaza has led to widespread starvation and malnutrition, particularly among children. As of Wednesday, 115 infants had died since the start of the war, according to Gaza’s Ministry of Health. The ministry also reported that 37 Palestinians, including children, have succumbed to hunger and malnutrition during the conflict.

Adding to the grim toll, Gaza’s Civil Defense announced the deaths of two more rescue workers in Rafah on Wednesday, bringing the total number of first responders killed since 7 October to 82.

Israel, flouting a UN Security Council resolution demanding an immediate cease-fire, has faced international condemnation amid its continued brutal offensive on Gaza since an 7 October attack last year by the Palestinian resistance group Hamas.

Nearly 40,000 Palestinians have since been killed in Gaza, most of them women and children, and over 92,000 others injured, according to local health authorities.

More than 10 months into the Israeli war, vast tracts of Gaza lie in ruins amid a crippling blockade of food, clean water and medicine.

The International Court of Justice has accused Israel of genocide and ordered a halt to its military operations in the southern city of Rafah, where over a million Palestinians had sought refuge before the city was invaded on May 6.

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