Dialectic of Converging Interests

By Dr Khairi Janbek

One’s experience has always been in peace building and not war mongering, therefore try to understand that to make a paradigm shift can make one fall into the transition gap.  

From the start I can say I have been wondering about the daily carnage, murder and destruction in the Middle East. Point one, how come a country like Israel, well-endowed with superior technology, can pinpoint the time and space accurately of the Hezbollah leaderships, same with Hamas, and assassinates them with impunity, fails to see the coming of 7 October from merely across the border? 

Some said that Israel has been fighting Hezbollah for a long time which enabled it to organize infiltrations and plans for assassinations, but isn’t its war against Hamas has been just for the same length of time?

So can Israelis accuse their own state with negligence, or is this so-called negligence carries notions that are more than meets the eye?

Now, what about Israel carrying out land operations across the border into Lebanon, for all intents and purposes, this would be the ideal time with the Hezbollah command in disarray? Or is it really that fact that Israel has no intention of doing so a priori?

To explain what I mean bluntly, after all the expected new leader of Hezbollah is Hashem Safi el Deen; he is through and through Iran’s man, his brother is also the bureau chief of Hezbollah in Tehran, all the top ranking commanders of the Iran allied groups in Syria and Iraq will be also through and through Tehran’s men and strictly under its direct command.

Therefore, the most logical conclusion is that Iran neither sold out Hezbollah nor any other its allies, but rather sold out the leaderships of those allied organizations in order to end their autonomy.

Which could mean also, Israel’s intentions are not actually the elimination of the allied organisations of Iran, but rather the elimination of their leaders in a dialectical formula of convergence with its Iranian enemy

Dr Khairi Janbek is a Jordanian writer based in Paris and the above opinion is that of the author and doesn’t reflect crossfirearabia.com.

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Gaza: Bloodiest War of the 21st Century

Its being described as one of the “bloodiest” war of the 21st century. This is how Israel’s Haaretz daily termed the war on Gaza in a recent investigation.

According to Haaretz, the war has claimed the lives of tens of thousands of Palestinians, many of whom were in zones previously designated as “safe” by the Israeli military.

The report criticized Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for accusing “the international community of hypocrisy concerning the war in the Gaza Strip – and to claim it is ignoring other conflicts and humanitarian disasters,” according to Anadolu.

For example, Netanyahu in January said: “Where was South Africa when millions were killed or expelled from their homes in Syria and Yemen?”

“But a cold examination of the numbers killed in the Gaza Strip reveals this is one of the bloodiest wars since the beginning of the century, especially if you examine the rate of mortality out of the total population,” the report pointed out.

The Israeli newspaper stated the Gaza war resulted in an extraordinarily high death toll, with approximately 40,000 Palestinians killed since the onslaught began on 7 October, 2023 7 – this this is about 2% of the Gaza’s population of two million.

Targeting safe areas

Despite the Israeli army’s designation of certain areas in Gaza as “safe areas,” the daily said “most of the residents of Gaza were displaced, but their escape to areas the Israel Defense Forces (army) has designated as safe zones has not always helped, and many have been killed in these areas too.”

The Israeli forces have repeatedly targeted these “safe areas” where displaced civilians gathered, resulting in the deaths of hundreds of people, including women and children.

The report noted international organizations and media outlets have consistently verified the casualty figures provided by Gaza’s Ministry of Health.

As of Wednesday, the ministry reported nearly 40,000 Palestinian deaths and over 92,000 injuries due to the ongoing war, with more than 10,000 people still missing under the rubble.

Haaretz compared the Gaza conflict to other major humanitarian disasters.

“In the Rohingya genocide in Myanmar, for example, about 25,000 people have been killed, according to the United Nations.

“The war in Gaza also stands out in comparison to wars from the 1990s, for example those that took place in the former state of Yugoslavia. One of these regions was Bosnia, and in the worst year of the conflict, 1991, the average number of deaths per month was 2,097 – and the total number killed over four years there was 63,000,” it added.

4,000 fatalities per month

The newspaper highlighted the alarming death rate in Gaza, which averages around 4,000 fatalities per month, far surpassing the monthly death toll in Ukraine’s ongoing conflict.

One of the most striking aspects of the Gaza war, according to Haaretz, is the lack of safe refuge for civilians. The densely populated, 360-square-kilometer (139-square-mile) area offers little to no escape for non-combatants, further exacerbating the humanitarian crisis.

“The difference that stands out the most between the rest of the wars of the 21st century and the war in the Gaza Strip is the size of the territory where the fighting is taking place, and the inability of the uninvolved civilians to flee the battles – and in particular the percentage of casualties among the overall population,” the newspaper elaborated.​​​​​​​

Living conditions for displaced civilians in so-called “humanitarian” zones are dire, with overcrowding, disease and a lack of shelter and medical supplies. Haaretz emphasized the staggering impact of the war, noting that 2% of Gaza’s population has been killed in less than a year—a level of destruction rarely seen outside of Africa since World War II.

Michael Spagat, a professor at the University of London who specializes in monitoring conflict casualties, told Haaretz that “in terms of the total number of dead, I assume Gaza won’t be among the 10 most violent conflicts of the 21st century.”

“But compared to the percentage of the population killed,” Spagat assumes it is already “among the top five.”

The devastation in Gaza has led to widespread starvation and malnutrition, particularly among children. As of Wednesday, 115 infants had died since the start of the war, according to Gaza’s Ministry of Health. The ministry also reported that 37 Palestinians, including children, have succumbed to hunger and malnutrition during the conflict.

Adding to the grim toll, Gaza’s Civil Defense announced the deaths of two more rescue workers in Rafah on Wednesday, bringing the total number of first responders killed since 7 October to 82.

Israel, flouting a UN Security Council resolution demanding an immediate cease-fire, has faced international condemnation amid its continued brutal offensive on Gaza since an 7 October attack last year by the Palestinian resistance group Hamas.

Nearly 40,000 Palestinians have since been killed in Gaza, most of them women and children, and over 92,000 others injured, according to local health authorities.

More than 10 months into the Israeli war, vast tracts of Gaza lie in ruins amid a crippling blockade of food, clean water and medicine.

The International Court of Justice has accused Israel of genocide and ordered a halt to its military operations in the southern city of Rafah, where over a million Palestinians had sought refuge before the city was invaded on May 6.

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Expert: Iran to Launch Strike on Israel Soon

Military expert Dr Nidal Abu Zeid said the resistance is provening it still has the ability to continue confronting the Israel occupation forces after 301 days. As evidence of that it launched a rockets barrage towards the Jewish settlements sorrounding Gaza from the southern region.

He added this is an area witnessing one of the largest military operations these days.

Abu Zeid added to Jo24 Israeli forces introduced a new brigade to fight in Gaza – so-called the Jerusalem Brigade affiliated to the Central Military Region – and not from the brigades of the Southern Military Region responsible for operations in Gaza.

Its confirms the extent of the attrition affecting the Israeli combat units from the Palestinian resistance groups in Gaza, the military expert said.

Abu Zeid pointed out the Israeli occupation army withdrew its Seventh Brigade in east of Khan Yunis recently due to the heavy losses they incurred amongst their ranks and has instead deployed the Jerusalem Brigade.

The continuing media statements about Hezbollah and Iran’s response to the assassination of martyrs Ismail Haniyeh and Fouad Shukr confirms that its coming military action on Israel will not be delayed, he said.

Waiting for the hit

This is especially in light of the repositioning of the Hezbollah units in southern Lebanon, withdrawal of Iranian militias from Deir Ezzor, Syria and the fact that most airlines stopped their flights to Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv.

Abu Zeid explained the clip circulating about the explosion in the building where Ismail Haniyeh was in Tehran is not true. He noted this clip is an old one, published on the occupation army’s website targeting a house in Attara, north Ramallah.

He added the coincidence of its publication now with the New York Times item comes within Israel’s attempt to show the explosion was caused by a device placed inside the building where Haniyeh was staying.

Abu Zeid this is being stressed to shatter the image of Iranian intelligence and show its been compromised. He added however, all indications show the area targeted was by an advanced missile launched from outside Iran, specifically from a base in Azerbaijan.

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Israeli Strikes North Syrian Coast

An Israeli strike was launched from the Mediterranean Sea that targeted Baniyas in Syria.

“At approximately 00:20 a.m, the Israeli enemy launched an aerial aggression from the direction of the Mediterranean Sea west of Baniyas, targeting one of the points in the vicinity of Baniyas city.” a Syrian military source said in a statement.

The strike action which is trending on the social media caused manjor material damage according to SANA, the Syrian news aggency.

One report stated several massive explosions were heard in the northwest coast of Syria 30 kilometers north of the port of Tartus that is controlled by the Russians.

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