Limited Iran Strike: Concept and International Dimensions

By Dr. Samira Bitam


In the race for global dominance, America, as always, is committed to playing the political game as the world’s policeman. It believes it has the right to manage its diplomatic and economic affairs in a way that secures its leading position, regardless of whether the targeted country has a legitimate defense or the pretext used to launch its strikes. The objective is paramount, and the target, often due to its nuclear advancements, is seen as an obstacle to America’s complete dominance.

The crucial question remains: What are the future implications of a new world order that will differ from its predecessor in both the number of poles and the size of the participating countries in alliances? Everyone is vigilant and eager to secure a piece of the global pie, aiming to maintain international standing, security, and open, free competition, all in pursuit of economic strength and astute policy.

In reality, Iran has never been an enemy of America, but the USA considers it its strongest competitor due to its possession of nuclear weapons—the same weapons possessed by Pakistan, Russia, North Korea, and others. Iran is currently under American scrutiny, and there has been, and continues to be, talk of a limited strike. In the language of politics, every word has a hidden meaning that cannot be understood superficially. “Limited” could refer to a small strike, perhaps targeting a sensitive location, or it could be a verbal threat indicating America’s seriousness about launching an attack on Iran at any moment. Caution is necessary because such attacks have international repercussions and provoke international reactions. We don’t believe America will repeat the same strike against Iran as it did against Iraq if it hasn’t carefully considered its options.

Iran possesses a silent political language that conceals the reality of its possession of weapons of mass destruction. What some newspapers publish may only represent a fraction of what remains undisclosed. For example, the “Whale” torpedo, specifically designed to destroy American warships, represents perhaps the most crucial element of a comprehensive defense system. According to Israeli estimates, the “Whale” torpedo weighs approximately 500 kilograms and operates underwater at extremely high speeds. To alleviate the burden on American aircraft carriers, Israel assesses that a single torpedo cannot destroy an aircraft carrier unless Iran employs precision operations. Israel’s concerns were evident in Netanyahu’s statement that Israel is facing difficult circumstances. This is understandable, given its gamble on redrawing the map of the Middle East, a gamble that risks failure. The international community will not remain passive, and repeated American aggression against peaceful nations will not go unpunished as before. Governments have reached a level of awareness sufficient to rise up in defense of their borders and territories. Iran will not be the only one affected, as the objective is an existential conflict that will allow Trump to secure his place in history.

The state of the Arabs today is no less lamentable than it was yesterday, when Iraq found itself mired in a sectarian war fueled by external forces, aimed at destroying its prestige and preventing any progress. America achieved its goals and plans, even though Bush, then president, implicitly admitted his mistake towards the Iraqis. The target was not a nuclear weapon, but a regime that had become a threat, leading to increased pressure on Middle Eastern countries. This occurred amidst a deliberate and even explicit fragmentation of the region, normalization of relations with certain countries, and their sponsorship of attacks like those of September 11, 2001, which targeted the World Trade Center in the United States.

America’s expenditure of dollars on the newly named Department of War will only add to its burdens. The country is already suffering from internal economic problems and social ills, issues that Trump has neglected, giving them the same attention he has devoted to his war agenda. Meanwhile, the international community is increasingly turning away from such dark policies. The Iranian episode in the global arena is being orchestrated through statements, pronouncements, and verbal sparring, all aimed at disseminating information as mere rhetoric, unreliable for uncovering the whole truth. Some weapons that Iran has not disclosed remain a mysterious enigma, threatening the stability of neighboring countries and those hosting American bases. Should America strike Iran, the entire scene would escalate into a third world war, leading to further political attrition and economic collapse. Statistics show a significant decline in maritime trade, and militias would become active on the borders of countries that have not taken a clear stance on global events. Being a friend of America does not exempt a country from being drawn into conflict, even under the flimsiest of pretexts. International law has been shaped to serve the Zionist-American vision of global hegemony, and membership in the United Nations will not alter this reality. The language of engagement today is the language of force, not negotiation and restraint. The weapons used in wars may not be limited to conventional arms; they may include biological weapons, ideological weapons, and other types that remain undisclosed until the last moment. This is because the cards of the international game are never fully revealed, and the element of surprise is always present. Every country has its own foreign policy and international stances. However, the blame lies with the Arab states that have succumbed to the aggression that devastated Gaza and destroyed its infrastructure. Every action has a reaction, and those who participated in the barbarity of the aggression against the Gaza Strip and merely condemned it will not escape the consequences of a third war, should one erupt.

Systems are not preserved through silence; rather, they collapse through their own inaction, cowardice, and humiliation. The next war, should it erupt, will bring with it many new realities that will lead to the emergence of a new world order, one that shows no mercy to the weak. The weak are those whose economies are fragile, whose people’s awareness is low, and whose workforce is neither serious nor aware of the magnitude of the stakes that await them. The world will inevitably witness a transformation that will alter perceptions, shift power dynamics, and tip the scales in favor of those who deserve it, without sentimentality or favoritism. Instead, there will be justice for just causes, because global change begins with an act of aggression and ends with a balance of power.

Opportunities.

The details of a limited strike, should it occur, will determine the new roadmap. Focusing on the initial strike will clarify the initial ambiguity before any attack.

Regardless of Trump’s aggressive reactions, whether towards the media or his opponents, his racism in some situations has been blatant. While Trump’s approach to managing affairs is troubling, it has also presented an opportunity for those working closely with him. By observing his habits and reactions, his adversaries can deduce information that allows them to manipulate or control him. Despite their success in this regard, no one can underestimate the difficulty of steering him in the same direction the following day, as Michael Wolff testifies in his book, “Fire and Fury: The Trump White House.”

Can Iran discern Trump’s seriousness from his jest if the matter concerns the outbreak of a third war, the duration and scope of which are unknown unless Trump decides to end it? Time will tell.

Dr. Samira Bitam is an Algerian writer. This is a translated version of an article she write for the Al Rai Al Youm website

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Palestinian Flag Raised Slovenia Presidential Palace

Slovenian President Nataša Perč-Mušar raised the Palestinian flag on the presidential palace in Ljubljana, Saturday. This is a symbolic gesture following its removal from government headquarters after conservative Prime Minister Janez Janša assumed power following the March 22 elections.

In a post on the X platform, Perč-Mušar said the flag would remain flying on the front of the palace for a week before being moved inside for public display. She described the move as carrying political and moral significance regarding the Palestinian cause and international law as reported in Quds Press.

She added the Palestinian flag, in addition to its national symbolism, now reflects what she termed grave violations of international humanitarian law in Palestine and other areas, highlighting the ongoing suffering of Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank.

The president emphasized that “the genocide against the Palestinians has not stopped,” and the residents of Gaza and the West Bank do not live in conditions that guarantee their human dignity, considering the raising of the flag an expression of solidarity with the legitimate rights of the Palestinian people.

The move coincided with a rising political controversy in Slovenia surrounding allegations of foreign interference in the recent general elections, including accusations concerning the role of the Israeli intelligence firm Black Cube. But this have been denied by relevant political figures in the country.

The government of former Prime Minister Robert Golbow had officially recognized the State of Palestine in 2014 and imposed restrictions on the export, import, and transit of military equipment to and from Israel. Janša opposed these measures and called for a public referendum on them.

This comes amidst ongoing Israeli violations of the ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip, which, according to available data, have resulted in hundreds of martyrs and thousands of wounded, in a war that has continued since October 2013 and has caused widespread destruction in the besieged territory.

Since October 8, 2023, Israel, with American and European support, carried out a genocide in the Gaza Strip, including killing, starvation, destruction, displacement, and arbitrary arrests, ignoring international appeals and orders from the International Court of Justice to halt its operations.

This genocide has left more than 246,000 Palestinians dead or wounded, most of them children and women, and more than 11,000 missing. In addition, hundreds of thousands have been displaced, and famine has claimed the lives of many, mostly children. Furthermore, the Gaza Strip has suffered widespread destruction, with most of its cities and towns effectively erased from the map.

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UN Red Alert Lebanon

The UN on Tuesday warned that an Israeli displacement order for Lebanon’s port city of Tyre will affect nearly 44,000 people, as peacekeepers recorded dozens of airspace violations and hundreds of firing incidents across southern Lebanon.

Pointing to the “deteriorating” situation in Tyre amid repeated Israeli displacement orders and continued strikes, UN spokesperson Farhan Haq said at a news conference: “The displacement order issued by Israel today for the entire city of Tyre, including all neighborhoods and Palestinian refugee camps, will affect nearly 44,000 people, many who were already displaced.”

On the military front, UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) peacekeepers yesterday observed “intensive ground and air activities” by Israeli forces across the UNIFIL’s area of operations, Haq said, citing armored movements, large-scale engineering and demolition works, sustained logistical traffic, and airstrikes.

“UNIFIL detected 48 violations of Lebanese airspace by Israel and nine airstrikes conducted by IDF fighter aircraft, as well as one separate incident of sustained machine-gun fire from an IDF helicopter, during which approximately 100 rounds were fired toward Bint Jubayl,” he said.

Total overflight time reached approximately 85 hours, with air activity particularly concentrated in the vicinity of Bint Jubayl, Tyre, and Deir Siriane, Haq said.

Peacekeepers also reported 446 trajectories fired from Israeli forces’ positions, “both south of the Blue Line and within the mission’s area of operations,” he said.

Israeli attacks have continued despite a fragile ceasefire that took effect April 17 and was later extended until early July.

More than 3,660 people have been killed and over 11,300 injured since Israel expanded its military campaign in Lebanon on March 2, while more than 1 million people have been displaced, according to Lebanese authorities.

Aoun also urged stronger EU support for Lebanon, particularly for the army, security institutions and the economy. He said Lebanon’s efforts to prevent the flow of Syrian refugees toward Europe should be matched by greater assistance from the bloc. Anadolu

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Confrontation: Iran-Israel Trade Fresh Military Strikes…

Military confrontations between Israel and Iran have resumed, with both sides exchanging missile and air strikes for the first time since a fragile ceasefire took effect last April.

The Israeli military announced on Monday that it had launched airstrikes targeting military sites in western and central Iran in response to Iranian missile launches. Iranian media confirmed explosions in several areas across the country.

On Sunday, Iran launched volleys of missiles toward Israel, marking its first direct attack since the April ceasefire. Iran stated that the strikes were in retaliation for an Israeli airstrike targeting the southern suburbs of Beirut. Sirens sounded in Haifa, northern Israel, the West Bank, and Jerusalem.

Israel and the United States launched a military strike against Iran on February 28, targeting facilities, ministries, and commanders in Tehran and several other Iranian provinces. Iran responded by launching ballistic missiles and drones into Israeli territory.

On April 8, US President Trump announced his agreement to suspend the Israeli-American war on Iran for two weeks, following peace talks between America and Iran hosted by Pakistan to reach an agreement to end the war. On the 22nd of the same month, Trump announced the extension of the ceasefire with Iran indefinitely, at the request of the mediators. WAFA

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