With 100 Missiles Into Israel Hezbollah Gains Upper Hand

The Lebanese group Hezbollah launched approximately 100 rockets toward Haifa and the Krayot region in northern Israel, Israeli media reported.

Israeli reports indicate that this was the heaviest barrage of rockets and the most intense shelling in that specific area since the start of the war. 

The rockets were reportedly launched from border sites, areas that the Israeli army previously claimed were under its control.

Direct casualties were reported in the Krayot area, with ambulance crews dispatched following initial reports. 

According to the Times of Israel, at least three people were wounded in Bi’ina. 

The heavy missile barrage also targeted Haifa, as well as Route 22 in Kiryat Bialik and Kiryat Ata. 

Sirens sounded across Haifa, the Krayot, the central Galilee, and the industrial zone between Acre and the Krayot. 

Haifa Mayor Yona Yahav told Channel 12 that the scale of the attack was among the largest since Hezbollah began shelling northern towns on October 8.

Al-Mayadeen’s correspondent reported that the latest missile salvos toward northern Israel included two ballistic missiles, signaling a shift to higher-grade weaponry. 

Hezbollah claimed responsibility, stating they targeted “a training base for the Paratroopers Brigade in the Karmiel settlement.”

The attack comes only one day following statements by the newly-appointed Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz, claiming that “Israel has defeated Hezbollah”.

“Now it is our job to continue to put pressure in order to bring about the fruits of that victory,” Katz said during a ceremony at Israel’s foreign ministry on Sunday.

Northern Front

Since the start of the Israeli war on Gaza, on October 7, 2023, the Lebanese movement Hezbollah has engaged directly, but relatively in a limited way in the war against the Israeli occupation.

Israel escalated its aggression with the cyber-terror attacks on September 17 and 18, which claimed the lives of at least 37 people including children, and injured around 3000 others.

This went hand in hand with a series of assassinations of Hezbollah leaders, including that of the Secretary-General of the resistance party Hassan Nasrallah on September 27.

These developments coincided with unprecedented bombings and airstrikes by Israel’s army on different cities across Lebanon particularly in the south, Bekaa and the southern district of Beirut.

The Lebanese Ministry of Health announced on November 10 that 3,189 Lebanese were killed and 14,078 were injured since the beginning of the Israeli aggression on Lebanon.

(PC, Al-Mayadeen)

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Expert: Israel Fails to Achieve Lebanon Goals

Military strategic expert Nidal Abu Zeid said the occupation army’s statements that it achieved 90% of the objectives of its military operation in southern Lebanon are unrealistic. How wounders whether they are really preparing to end their military operations in southern Lebanon. 

He said the most prominent objectives, return of the residents of the northern settlements, have not been achieved. On the contrary he pointed out there has been a displacement movement of residents of many areas in the northern Israeli settlements due to continuing military strikes by Hezbollah.

Abu Zeid added to Jordan 24 that the occupation is preparing, through the media, to end the war with Hezbollah after the latter targeted three crucial military factories, namely the Rafael factory for manufacturing armor, Yudifat factory for manufacturing aircraft spare parts, and the Lama factory for manufacturing parts for air defense systems, 135 km from the Lebanese border.

 He pointed out Hezbollah’s target bank has details and accurate information about important Israeli sites and is working on them on a “gradual equation.”

Regarding what is happening in Gaza, Abu Zaid pointed out the Israeli army established a new axis in north Gaza, parallel to the Netzarim axis and the Philadelphi axis. 

Thus it is dividing Jabalia from Gaza city, which means re-engineering the geography and demographics of Gaza to enable its occupation forces to repeat the West Bank model by ensuring the ability to move within the Strip in the way it wants.

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18,000 Lebanese Force-cross Into Iraq

Over than 18,000 Lebanese have entered Iraq since the start of Israeli airstrikes on the country since late September, Iraqi authorities stated, Sunday.

“Efforts are underway to receive Iraq’s guests from Lebanese citizens in batches,” Alaa al-Din al-Qaisi, a spokesman for Iraq’s Border Ports Authority, said in statements carried by the official news agency INA.

News about the influx of Lebanese citizens is making headways on the social media with whole families being forced out of the country due to the high intensity of fighting on the areas at the rim of southern and southwestern Lebanon.

Al-Qaisi said the influx follows orders from Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani to allow visa-free entry on Lebanese citizens, pointing out that over 18,000 Lebanese nationals arrived in Iraq since 27 September.

A massive Israeli air campaign in Lebanon has been ongoing since late September against what it claims are Hezbollah targets, an escalation in year-long cross-border warfare since the start of the Gaza war.

More than 3,100 people have been killed and over 13,800 injured in Israeli attacks since October 2023, according to Lebanese health authorities according to the Anadolu news agency.

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Analysis: Hezbollah’s War Strategy Against Israel

Military and strategic expert Fayez al-Duwairi said the resistance’s performance witnessed a qualitative development. He pointed to a recurring pattern pf targeting the Israeli depth reaching a distance of 145 kilometers from the Lebanese border.

He explained that this development is accompanied by an increasing focus on targeting strategic military bases in Israel.

Al-Duwairi continued the resistance has begun to target the main strengths of the Israeli army, specifically the armored forces on the Blue Line and the air bases from which the aircrafts take off from.

He stressed targeting air bases is a strategic priority for them, as hitting a vital part of any base can disable them for hours, which reduces the number of sorties.

In his assessment of missile capabilities, the military expert explained the current range of missiles requires them to be launched from a depth of no less than 160 kilometers, pointing to the diversity of the missile systems used, as the Fateh missiles, for example, have a range of 300 kilometers, while the payload of the explosive warheads ranges between 70 and 500 kilograms.

Dense Barrages

Regarding the tactics used, Al-Duwairi pointed out Hezbollah’s strategy is to flood the skies of Israel with dense barrages of missiles, simultaneously with sending drones.

He pointed out that this tactic exploits the weaknesses of the Israeli Iron Dome system, which has only 10 batteries, while it needs 14-17 batteries to cover the all of the Israeli-occupied Palestine.

The military expert warned of the limited efficiency of the Israeli defense system, which does not exceed 65%, even with its reinforcement by the Iron Beam and the David’s Sling systems.

He explained the resistance exploits these loopholes by launching short-range missiles to flood the batteries, followed by long-range missiles or drones, which are tactics that have proven successful on several occasions.

Al-Duwairi stressed that the success of this strategy depends on precise coordination between different types of weapons and the appropriate timing of attacks, noting that the resistance is demonstrating an increasing ability to manage military operations with high efficiency.

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Expert: Israel Army Suffers as it Fights on 2 Fronts

Military expert Dr. Nidal Abu Zeid confirmed that the Israeli occupation army has begun to suffer from problems related to ammunition and manpower, as a result of fighting on two fronts simultaneously. He added this contradicts its combat doctrine. 

Abu Zeid added to Jordan24 that the issue of manpower shortage came as a result of the heavy losses suffered by the occupation forces on the southern Lebanon front. 

This is in addition to the fact that only one in three males joins the army plus the fact that 15% of soldiers drop out during military service and do not serve in the reserves while the number of those who obtained exemptions from conscription for medical and psychological reasons has jumped from 4 to 8%, according to figures published by Israeli websites.

Abu Zeid pointed out Hezbollah’s success in bombing the Tzrifin military base, which is 120 kilometers from Lebanon with the Fateh 110 missile, which was used for the first time, is a step that falls within the framework of the equation of proportionality. 

He added the base includes camps for training and military education and headquarters for senior officers in the artillery and communications corps and the military unit affiliated with the spokesman for the occupation army. Unit 108, which specializes in maintaining electronic and technical systems and equipment in the air force of the occupation army, also operates in the base.

Regarding the developments in the Gaza Strip, Abu Zeid pointed out that the occupation army withdrew its 252 Reserve Division, which was deployed in two brigades in the Netzarim axis, and returned its 99 Infantry Division (reserve) to the Netzarim axis, which indicates that the occupation no longer has the luxury of military options.

He added that so the Israeli army is returning the divisions it withdrew from months ago to the same combat axes after restoring some of its losses, and this is something that has operational caveats as it ultimately leads to the construction of fragile military units and leads to the soldiers losing their fighting spirit, which explains the low level of combat operations in the Gaza Strip.

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