Israel is Losing in Gaza And Against Hezbollah – Military Expert

Military expert Dr. Nidal Abu Zeid said the success of the resistance in attacking the occupation’s military hardware and drones proves the falseness of the Israeli story of eliminating the Rafah Brigade.

He noted that after the withdrawal of the 98th Paratroopers Division from Gaza a few days ago, the only remaining Israeli forces were the 162nd Armored Division to fight in Rafah, the Alexandroni Brigade and the 8th Armored Brigade in the Netzarim axis; he added there were five divisions fighting at the beginning of the military operations.

Abu Zeid added to Jordan24 that the resistance is working at a calm pace to achieve three tactics, which are operations with political messages, as is happening in Rafah.

He indicated that low-intensity operations outline the features of a long phase of attrition which is what the Palestinian resistance group want to exhaust the remaining Israeli forces in Gaza, which have been fighting for 352 days.

Lebanon

Regarding what is happening in southern Lebanon, Abu Zeid said the Israeli forces have tried to maintain the initiative and want to accumulate achievements and not give Hezbollah the opportunity to reorganize its ranks in order to deprive it of the ability to launch operations towards the north of the occupied territories.

However he added, it seems that Hezbollah has begun to regain the ability to seize the initiative through the missile barrages it launched at dawn on Sunday and reached deep into northern Israel, reaching the Ramat David base and airport with dozens of Fadi-1 and Fadi-2 missiles. This shows that Hezbollah is rebuilding its capabilities, but it is still early to judge the full recovery of the decision-making chain.

Abu Zeid stressed that the operations with Hezbollah have moved from the scope of “geographical targeting” to those of targeting the party’s organizational structure, pointing out calculing profit and loss in this form of unconventional operations is not measured by the method of air strikes, but by calculating the points in which the resistance still excels, whether in Gaza or in southern Lebanon.

He added Israel did not achieve its goal by its operations against Hezbollah to return the residents of the northern settlements nor did it achieve its goals in Gaza by recovering the prisoners or create a new security reality.

The military expert indicated that the occupation is winning tactically but losing strategically.

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War Heats up as Hezbollah Trade Attacks With Israel

Hezbollah announced, Sunday morning, it  bombed an Israeli military industries complex in northern Haifa with dozens of rockets in an initial response to the pager and wireless explosions.

A party statement indicated it bombed “the military industries complexes of the Rafael Company, which specializes in electronic means and equipment, and is located in the Zevulun area north of Haifa, with dozens of Fadi 1, Fadi 2, and Katyusha rockets.”

Hezbollah rockets

Hezbollah had earlier announced at dawn, Sunday, it targeted the Ramat David base and airport for the second time with dozens of rockets.

In a statement it stated it “announces, for the second time in two hours, it targeted the Ramat David base and airport with dozens of Fadi 1 and Fadi 2 rockets, in response to the repeated Israeli attacks that targeted various Lebanese regions and led to the deaths of many civilian martyrs.”

In contrast, the Israeli army announced in the past hours, Hezbollah launched about 115 “air threats” towards northern Israel, adding firefighting teams were working to extinguish the fires that broke out as a result.

The Israeli Broadcasting Authority reported that about 120 rockets were fired from Lebanon on Saturday night.

The Israeli Channel 13 reported Hezbollah focused on security and economic sites and facilities, and there was damage, especially in the Haifa and Kiryot areas, for the first time since August 2006.

Israel Today reported the army estimates that Hezbollah will continue to fire rockets in the coming days without expanding the scope of the targeting.

Injuries and fires

The Israeli Ambulance Service, Magen David Adom reported four people were injured by shrapnel from rockets fired by Hezbollah at the city of Haifa.

Meanwhile, three Israelis were injured near the city of Kiryot, and a number of people were injured as a result of several rockets falling in the occupied southern Golan Heights, according to the Israeli Walla website.

The Maariv newspaper quoted the Israeli ambulance as saying that there was one injury in the Lower Galilee as a result of Hezbollah rockets, while it reported that there were no injuries as a result of the shelling of the areas of Yokneam, Afula, and the Ramat David base.

On the other hand, the Israeli Broadcasting Authority said that some residents of the Kiryat Tiv’on settlement said that the shelters they tried to hide in were closed.

Israel Hayom reported firefighting teams were working to put out a fire that broke out near Migdal HaEmek, most likely caused by interceptor missile fragments. The Marj Bin Amer Regional Council also said that a missile fell and caused a fire in the area between Kfar Rauch and Yokneam.

Lebanon bombing

On the other hand, Channel 12 reported that Israeli warplanes have launched raids on sites in the Majdal Zun area in Lebanon.

The Israeli army said that the strikes will continue and increase in intensity against Hezbollah.

Al Jazeera’s correspondent reported that Israeli raids targeted the vicinity of the town of Yatar and the area of ​​the Nabaa al-Tasa stream in southern Lebanon.

The Israeli raids also targeted the towns of Aitaroun, Taybeh, Zebqin, the town of Khiam, and the vicinity of the town of Zrarieh in southern Lebanon.

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Israel Will Not Start a Ground War Into Lebanon – Expert

The Israeli army is carrying out a series of military operations in south Lebanon to avoid entering into a ground battle with Hezbollah, Mamoun Abu Nawar, ex-Major-General and military expert, said.

It therefore struck the strategic weight of the party leadership to change within the inside to try to achieve complete paralysis in its elite forces affiliated to Al Radwan brigade whilst isolating its leadership from ground operations control centers that manage the war, he added.

The Israelis leaders resorted to these operations after the United States refused to approve their ground invasion of Lebanon and expand the scope of the war and enter into a comprehensive regional war Abu Nawar told Jordan 24.

Israel will not dare to wage a ground war because it would be the main loser and will therefore be satisfied with missile strikes from the air, he pointed out.

Although the situation is “uncomfortable” the war will not expand and remain under control and Israel will not go to a war that will burn everyone, but it is stricking Hezbollah’s so-called strategic center of gravity – the Radwan to avoid a ground war – as it knows it will not win and will get involved in new losing battles in light of Hezbollah’s ability to strike the infrastructure inside Israel, Abu Nawar concluded.

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Yossi Hadar: ‘Netanyahu Lost The War to Hamas’

Israeli political analyst Yossi Hadar, in the Jewish Maariv newspaper, said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu lost the war to Hamas, and instead of signing a prisoner exchange deal with it, he is trying to drag Israel into a war of attrition that will keep him in power.

The analyst harshly criticized Netanyahu for trying to dismiss Defense Minister Yoav Galant, describing it as a political move to preserve his position, ignoring the military failures in the Hamas attack of 7 October, 2023.

The writer began his article by referring to the operation attributed to Israel of blowing up the wireless devices in Lebanon and Syria, which resulted in the death of 32 Lebanese and the wounding of hundreds, according to the latest statistics.

“If the attribution of this operation to Israel is correct, it reveals another aspect of Israel’s enormous military capabilities, but at the same time it could bring us closer to a real war with Hezbollah, while the war in Gaza continues, the Houthis attacks on Israel, and Iranian threats continue, with operations growing in the West Bank and inside Israel,” he added.

The analyst accused Netanyahu of deliberately prolonging the war for political reasons, ignoring the serious security implications for Israel, and described him as the most failed prime minister in Israel, and that he “is leading an approach of political baseness and exhaustion and implementing a Machiavellian plot aimed at tightening control over the country by pushing the public to despair.”

Hadar stressed that Netanyahu’s escalation in the north is “the way Netanyahu seeks to maintain his rule, not in order to do something beneficial for the citizens of Israel, but only for his personal and political interests, just so he can continue to exhaust us.”

Political Maneuver

The writer then went on to assert that Netanyahu’s attempt to dismiss Galant is part of a political maneuver aimed at strengthening his power, rather than addressing the military failures that were evident in the 7 October attack, which puts Israel in a weak position in the face of the growing threats.

“All this does not prevent Netanyahu from hatching a plot to overthrow the defense minister at this critical moment for the security of the state, and in the midst of a war that could expand,” he said.

He explained Netanyahu’s move as a bid to replace his defense minister because of his opposition to the Haredi conscription law that the Orthodox parties insist on, in exchange for appointing the head of the Right-wing Israel Party, Gideon Sa’ar, because the latter will pass this law, referring to Sa’ar’s volatility, who was previously quoted as saying, “If you want Netanyahu as prime minister, don’t vote for me.”

Hadar also denied Netanyahu’s followers’ marketing of the reason for Galant’s dismissal as a “weak leftist,” saying that Galant himself offered, just four days after the 7 October attack, to attack Hezbollah as a preemptive move, but Netanyahu refused, in a state of panic over the events.

The writer recalled that Netanyahu is the one who divided Israel by leading “an attempted coup against the judicial system that he created before 7 October,” and he is the one who brought upon Israel “the catastrophe of 7 October,” and now he is dragging another catastrophe by dragging Israel into a war of attrition.

He said, “Instead of waging a short and intense war, he chose a dangerous and failed war of attrition that goes against all strategic logic, and dragged Israel into the worst state it has been since its founding, because what matters is only the logic of political survival,” according to Jordan24.

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