The A, B, C to a Ceasefire

A cease-fire agreement between Lebanon and Israel went into force early Wednesday to end over 14 months of fighting between the Israeli army and Hezbollah group.

In a 13-item document obtained from a government meeting on Wednesday, the Lebanese Cabinet reaffirmed its commitment to implementing UN Security Council Resolution 1701 in its entirety.

Resolution 1701, adopted on Aug. 11, 2006, calls for a complete halt to hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel and the establishment of a weapons-free zone between the Blue Line and the Litani River in southern Lebanon, with exceptions for the Lebanese army and the UN peacekeeping mission (UNIFIL).

The cease-fire deal took effect hours after US President Joe Biden said a proposal to end the conflict had been reached, amid hopes it would stop Israeli airstrikes on Lebanese towns and cities and end the year-long cross-border fighting.

Over 3,800 people have been killed in Israeli attacks in Lebanon and over 1 million displaced since last October, according to Lebanese health authorities.

The document seen by Anadolu includes 13 items as follows:

1- Israel and Lebanon will implement a cessation of hostilities beginning at 04:00 hours (IST/EET) on November 27, 2024, in accordance with the commitments detailed below.

2- From 04:00 hours (IST/EET) on November 27, 2024, forward, the Government of Lebanon will prevent Hezbollah and all other armed groups in its territory from carrying out any operations against Israel. In return, Israel will not conduct any offensive military operations against Lebanese targets, including civilian, military, or other state targets, by land, air, or sea.

3- Israel and Lebanon recognize the importance of UNSCR 1701 in achieving lasting peace and security and commit to taking steps towards its full implementation without violations.

4- These commitments do not preclude either Israel or Lebanon from exercising their inherent right to self-defense, consistent with international law.

5- Without prejudice to the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) and its responsibilities, or to commitments in UNSCR 1701 and its predecessor resolutions, Lebanon’s official military and security forces, infrastructure, and weaponry will be the only armed groups, arms, and related materiel deployed in the southern Litani area, as shown in the attached LAF Deployment Plan (hereinafter “the Southern Litani Area”).

6- Consistent with UNSCR 1701 and its predecessor resolutions, and to prevent the reestablishment and rearmament of non-state armed groups in Lebanon, any sales or supply of arms and related materiel into Lebanon will be regulated and controlled by the Government of Lebanon. Additionally, all production of arms and related materiel within Lebanon will be regulated and controlled by the Government of Lebanon.

7- Upon the commencement of the cessation of hostilities (as per paragraph 1), the Government of Lebanon will provide all necessary authorities, including freedom of movement, to Lebanon’s official military and security forces. It will instruct them, consistent with UNSCR 1701 and its predecessor resolutions, to:

a. Monitor and enforce against any unauthorized entry of arms and related materiel into and throughout Lebanon, including through all border crossings, and against the unauthorized production of arms and materiel within Lebanon.

b. Dismantle all unauthorized facilities involved in the production of arms and related materiel in the Southern Litani Area and prevent the establishment of such facilities in the future.

c. Confiscate all unauthorized arms and dismantle unauthorized infrastructure and military positions in the Southern Litani Area.

8- The United States and France intend to work within the Military Technical Committee for Lebanon (MTC4L) to enable and achieve the deployment of 10,000 LAF soldiers to southern Lebanon as soon as possible. They also intend to work with the international community to support the LAF’s capabilities.

9- Upon the cessation of hostilities, and in coordination with UNIFIL, Israel and Lebanon will reformulate and enhance the tripartite mechanism (hereinafter “the Mechanism”), which will be hosted by UNIFIL, chaired by the United States, and include France. The Mechanism will:

a. Monitor, verify, and assist in ensuring enforcement of these commitments.

b. Strengthen the LAF’s capacity to inspect and dismantle unauthorized sites, confiscate weapons, and prevent the presence of unauthorized armed groups.

10- Israel and Lebanon will report any alleged violations to the Mechanism and UNIFIL, without prejudice to their rights to communicate directly with the UN Security Council.

11- Upon cessation of hostilities, Lebanon will deploy its official military and security forces to all borders and regulate all land, air, and sea crossings.

12- Israel will withdraw its forces south of the Blue Line in a phased manner while the LAF deploys in the Southern Litani Area, as detailed in the attached Deployment Plan. This process will be completed within 60 days.

13- Israel and Lebanon request that the United States, in partnership with the United Nations, facilitate indirect negotiations to resolve remaining disputed points along the Blue Line, consistent with UNSCR 1701.

These commitments aim to enable civilians on both sides of the Blue Line to return safely to their homes and lands. The United States and France further intend to lead international efforts to support capacity-building and economic development throughout Lebanon to promote stability and prosperity in the region.”

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Has Hezbollah Abandoned Gaza?

Bloggers are today asking that with the current ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon if Hezbollah has abandoned Gaza?

The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah was the most prominent event on Arab social media platforms. After nearly a year of support announced by the party to the Palestinian resistance, an agreement was reached, Wednesday, with Israel to stop the fighting and war.

This announcement sparked controversy and division. Some bloggers considered Hezbollah abandoned the will of its late General Secretary Hassan Nasrallah who was killed by Israel, to support Gaza according to Al Jazeera.

Others on the other hand, saw that the party did what it could to support the people of Gaza in many ways which other  countries were unable to do.

The first thing bloggers circulated was part of Nasrallah’s last speech, in which he said, “the resistance in Lebanon will not stop supporting Gaza, despite all the sacrifices it has made.”

They added the current ceasefire agreement has gone beyond the last will of Nasrallah that “the Lebanese front will not stop before the aggression on Gaza stops.”

They pointed out: “We will not deceive ourselves. Israel succeeded tonight in separating the fronts, leaving Gaza alone, and this has now become a reality. This scenario was proposed since the beginning of the war: Stopping support for Gaza and Hezbollah withdrawing from south of the Litani, which was ultimately agreed upon according to their interpretation.

One of the bloggers commented: “Today, and today only, we felt the loss of Mr. Hassan Nasrallah, who promised not to abandon supporting Gaza in its honorable struggle for human dignity and freedom, but the party’s acceptance of the truce with Israel is a great loss.”

On the other hand, there are those who saw that the party did what it had to do in supporting the resistance in Gaza and that it lost its Secretary-General and a number of its first leaders to support and back the Palestinian resistance. They added that Hezbollah did what it had to do and made great sacrifices, starting with its political and military leaders, and that in the end it is not a superpower but a resistance movement in a small country and the whole world is against it.

Others saw that Israel acquiesced to the ceasefire with Hezbollah for several reasons, the most important of which is separating the Hezbollah front from Gaza and the isolation of Hamas and that Israel’s failed in its land war in Lebanon as in Gaza despite its air superiority.

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Ceasefire and Israel’s downfall

Television journalists Ahmad Mansour writes:

“Israel agreed to a ceasefire with Hezbollah for many reasons, the most important of which is to separate the Hezbollah front Gaza to go after Hamas.

Like Gaza Israel has failed with Hezbollah despite its air superiority because of its shortage in weapons and ammunition after using it up by the Israeli occupation army on the heads of the Palestinians of Gaza over the past 15 months.

The amount of munitions dropped on the Gaza Strip equal the size dropped on the past two world wars.

However, the agreeing of Israel to the ceasefire agreement also relates to the fact that life and economy in the Jewish state was paralyzed because of the continuing, non-stop strikes of missiles that lead to the collapse of the spirit of the Israeli army and the injuries of 10s of thousands of its soldiers who became psychologically shocked and no longer able to fight because of permanent injuries.

This is not to mention the fight that developed over the past months between the military establishment, the Shabak, and the government lead by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.  

This is the longest and most difficult war Israel has fought and it has failed in its goals to release its hostages and in addition to that Netanyahu is reordering his house with the Arab states to hitch together agreement with Israel through the coming US administration of Donald Trump and redraw the map of the Middle East with the absolute domination by Israel.

This is the plan but God has another plan which will be revealed in the coming day for Israel is collapsing from the inside and the internal conflicts with it will lead to its downfall as many Israeli analysts predict and who say that accords with other Arab countries will not save it. Israel is now on the edge of the abyss and nothing can save it.”  

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Israelis Slam Hezbollah Ceasefire

Former head of the Israeli military intelligence division, Tamir Hayman, admitted the Israeli army did not achieve any of its goals in its aggression against Lebanon. He noted the goal of returning the settlers quickly and safely to the north was not achieved.

He stressed Hezbollah fighters “embodied, through their bold fighting against the Israeli army, the saying that equations are imposed only on the ground.”

He pointed out “Israel has a problem with ammunition stores after a year of fighting, a problem with the capabilities of reserve soldiers, and a problem with the target, and the army does not choose the target, but rather it is the prime minister who determines it (returning the residents safely).”

Hayman said that “the Israelis described the agreement with Lebanon as an agreement of surrender and submission to Hezbollah.”

Further, a recent poll shows that 99% of Israelis believe that “Israel did not win the war against Hezbollah,” which, according to analysts, achieved “absolute victory.”

After the ceasefire agreement between Hezbollah and Israel came into effect, Channel 14 condemned the return of residents of southern Lebanon to their towns, despite the threats of the Israeli army spokesman.

It said: “They do not listen to the Israeli army spokesman but they return to southern Lebanon.”

Mayor of the Kiryat Shmona settlement, Amichai Stern said he is unwilling “for his settlers to return [to the north] like cattle to be slaughtered.”

He continued: “Regardless of being the mayor, I do not feel safe raising my children in Kiryat Shmona, as the homes in the Lebanese villages are advanced sites, and after 7 October we all knew what awaited us in southern Lebanon.”

Head of the Merom Hagalil Regional Council Amit Sofer saw the ceasefire agreement as “providing calm, not security,” and said: “No one wants to live in a place where there is no security.”

For his part, head of the Metula Council David Azoulay blasted that the Israeli government concluded a “shameful agreement with Hezbollah”, considering that it had left the settlers of the north to their fate.

He added in a Hebrew Channel 12 interview that: “The Israeli army says it is on the Litani, but we should not be enthusiastic, as it is only 2 kilometers near Metula and we have not entered tens of kilometers.”

He added he lacked confidence “in the Israeli government, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Hezbollah,” as reported in Jo24.

The ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and the Israeli occupation entered into force Wednesday 26, November, 2024 at exactly 4 am Beirut time. From the first minutes, the residents of the south, the Bekaa and the southern suburb began returning to their towns.

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