A World Without America?

By Dr Khairi Janbek

Away from the condom politics which seems to be just an obsession of a Washington administration suffering from erectile dysfunction, on thought it would be intriguing to imagine a world without America, which means deep cultural, economic as well as political implications. It’s a thought experiment which forces one to imagine how the world would look like without the specific influence, history and power dynamics that the USA has shaped.

On the geopolitical and global power level, other nations would have to step in into the void, vying for influence. Europe, China, Russia and India would probably play a central role on global politics, in addition, the Security Council of the UN will start looking very different, Europe would become the dominant force strengthening its collective military and political capabilities.

In terms of culture and society, American has played a central role in shaping global pop culture, Hollywood, music, fashion and hi-tech, indeed other nations would have come in, in Asia South Korea, Japan and India would take a central role in shaping global culture, with Europe asserting itself in the arts and literature.

In technology and innovation, the US has produced Silicon Valley and leading corporations in software, hardware and AI, however without, China and Europe would fill the hitech leadership role which probably would accelerate their breakthroughs.

As for the economy, without America, the world economy would be real different, the US dollar would not be the world reserve currency, with the Euro and the Yuan, being the global standard. Trade dynamics would be rearranged and institutions like the World Bank and the IMF would have other substitutes.

Regarding military and defense, American power is unmatched , without it global security dynamics would shift drastically, NATO might not exist, while regions powers like Russia, China and India, would become more aggressive in asserting their influence.

In terms of the environment and social movements, the US has been at the forefront of global debates on climate change, social Justice and human rights; taking note of course, with mixed results, but without it, certainly others would take the lead, for a start, Europe has been a leader in pushing for climate action , and in social action, countries like Brazil, South Africa, would fill in the gap with most probably leading to different outcomes. But , the USA has been a major donor for global and humanitarian aid, and their contribution would have to be substituted by other coalitions, which one assumes would be limited only to crisis.

Essentially, a world system without America, the international system would be less centered around one dominant great power, as power would be more diffuse with multiple centers of influence and more regional power struggles, but at the end of the day, the purpose for the use of condoms would be much clearer.

Dr Janbek is an opinion writer based in Paris

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Domination Space For Common Space

By Dr Khairi Janbek

When we think of contemporary Iran, one always believes that the Arab Middle East had always been dominated by the three Non-Arab American allies; Iran under of the Shah, Turkey and Israel.

One thinks that those “neighborhood police stations’ were the guarantors of stability through their convergence, and at times contradictions, in the age of Cold War and oil. However, the Shah of Iran was deposed and the Anti-communist Cold War ended, but that didn’t mean that oil stopped becoming important nor that Russia and China were no longer threats.

One would say, that the rehabilitation of Iran and possibly turning it into a negotiations partner aims at keeping the third angle of the police stations triangle going, because non of the Arab countries, no matter how much they tried, could never replace Iran, because no Arab police station is permitted to emerge as a third angle.

Having said that, it would be beyond naive to think that the expansion of Iran’s power and influence happened by stealth or escaped the notice of the US and NATO.

After after all Iran grew to become a Red Sea country through its influence on the Houthis in Yemen, a Mediterranean country through its influence in Syria as well Lebanon through Hezbullah and the major Gulf country through its supporters in Iraq. 

In fact this Iranian domination of space is what has created a common space between all its long-arm organisations in the region.

Essentially, if we compare Iran to an octopus, all those various groups are its tentacles, and they all serve the purpose of Iran’s strategic interests, albeit not through a push-button approach, but through not taking any action which would not please their Persian master.  

Of course, this puts Iran in a strong position to be a major player in the region and an inescapable negotiations partner for the US, which is also convenient for the Americans, in order to remind their Arab allies who is their protector in a region policed by Turkey, Israel and Iran.

Of course this takes us to the point of saying that, for all intents and purposes, for the Americans a trusted adversary is more important than distrusted friends, and that it would be absurd to think that all those long arms of Iran in the Arab world can be amputated by military means; they certainly can be weakened, but without the consent of Iran and without the right price, so long as it remains behind them, nothing much can change.

At this point, from what one can only see, is that no one in their right mind or otherwise, will permit a war to emerge in which Israel is pitted against Iran and the US as well as NATO putting all their weight behind Israel and forcing the Arabs to choose their camp.  

That would be the scenario of the end of the world as we know it, or with major civil wars in the Arab countries controlled by the tentacles of Iran, and which no one wants.

Dr Khairi Janbek is a Jordanian writer based in ParisFrance

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Arab States Must Withdraw Envoys to Stop Gaza Slaughter – Kuwaiti Analyst

Kuwaiti observer and political analyst Walid Al-Ahmad called on Arab countries that have diplomatic and economic relations with Tel Aviv to “take decisive and effective steps to pressure the Israeli occupation to stop the war on Gaza.”

Al-Ahmad stressed on the “Manchet Press” program, on Kuwait’s official state television, Sunday, the “necessity of considering options such as withdrawing ambassadors with Israel and threaten to stop trade and economic dealings with the Jewish entity.”

“These measures, if implemented effectively, would leave a painful impact on the Israeli economy, which may push it to reevaluate its policies and meet Arab demands,” he explained.

“Pressure should not be limited to Israel only, but also directed towards the United States of America, which is considered the main supporter of Israel,” he added.

“Strengthening economic and diplomatic relations with global powers such as Russia and China can be a powerful tool to send a clear message to Washington about the need to review its policies supporting Israel,” he pointed out.

Kuwait and “despite its small size, is a large country in its giving and positions,” adding it “was the first among the Gulf and Arab countries to strengthen its relations with China, which highlights its pioneering role in changing the balance of economic power,” the political analyst said.

“In light of the current situation, where the United States dominates most global agreements, tenders and treaties, Kuwait’s move towards China is a smart strategic move, and through this step, Kuwait has opened the way for other Gulf countries to consider cooperation with China, which enhances the diversity of strategic economic options in the region,” he explained.

The Israeli occupation army has been continuing its aggression on the Gaza Strip for 345 days, with American and European support. Its aircraft are bombing the vicinity of hospitals, buildings, towers, and homes of Palestinian civilians, destroying them over the heads of their residents, and preventing the entry of water, food, medicine, and fuel.

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SPIRI: Israel Has 90 Nuclear Warheads, Not 200

Israel is upgrading its nuclear arsenal maintains the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute(SIPRI). 

With regards its deathly weapons, Israel maintains what its terms  “nuclear ambiguity”, neither confirming nor denying the possession of nuclear capability and refuses to admit in public that it has nuclear weapons.

However, in its report, SIPRI  ranks Israel  number eight globally in terms of the number of stored nuclear warheads. 

The Swedish organization estimates Israel has 90 nuclear warheads, more than North Korea’s estimated 50.

One blogger comments the rogue state of Israel has an estimated 200 nuclear warheads but has never signed the 1968 nuclear non-proliferation treaty.

He maintains Israel’s “Samson Option” is a nuclear strategy that involves the use of nuclear weapons as a last resort in the event of an existential threat to the state.

Another maintains Israel controls America’s politics, money, and weapons. He adds Israel is a threat to America and the world, not Russia, not China, not North Korea, not Iran.

Israel is a terrorist state #IsraelIsATerroristState‌ #Gaza_Genocide

‌https://x.com/SIPRIorg/status/1802464270082334882

Finally another writes President John F. Kennedy expressed his concern about the danger to Middle East peace and stability with a nuclear armed Israel. Kennedy was assassinated shortly afterwards.

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